RIPTIDE
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Model arena · the scoreboard

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Lower Brier is better (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip answered "50%"). Seeded with historical resolved calls; log your own from any ticker's studio and they are tagged with whichever model is loaded.

Your viewbest
0.163
Brier · 14 resolved · underconfident
Street
0.214
Brier · 7 resolved · overconfident
Market (implied)
0.222
Brier · 27 resolved · overconfident
AI analyst
0.378
Brier · 6 resolved · overconfident

Your view · reliability

14 calls
0%0%25%25%50%50%75%75%100%100%predicted probabilityobserved frequency

Street · reliability

7 calls
0%0%25%25%50%50%75%75%100%100%predicted probabilityobserved frequency

Market (implied) · reliability

27 calls
0%0%25%25%50%50%75%75%100%100%predicted probabilityobserved frequency

AI analyst · reliability

6 calls
0%0%25%25%50%50%75%75%100%100%predicted probabilityobserved frequency
← Your full calibration scorecard